Perception of forest fire risk and its impact on housing valuation: the transition between the Sierra de las Nieves and the Costa del Sol (Málaga, Spain)
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Abstract
In the context of global climate change, the virulence of forest fires is expected to increase based on the estimated projections of global warming in the Mediterranean arc. In this context, an analysis of the perception of natural risks is proposed, paying special attention to forest fires and how their effect on the landscape can affect satisfaction with housing or the choice of a property. The methodology proposes a qualitative analysis, through surveys, to find out the perception of forest fire risk of residents in the municipalities of Benahavís, Istán and Ojén, located in the transition between the Western Costa del Sol and the Sierra de las Nieves, in the province of Málaga. It is concluded that the perception of risk is generally high and increasing, although its influence turns out to be of a lesser degree than that of considering the natural environment as an environmental amenity. Wildfires and their impact on the landscape have a negative effect on the valuation of the place of residence, but this unfavourable consequence is reduced when the landscape recovers, although the risk of a new episode is perceived to be high.
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