Regularidad global y variabilidad local de los patrones espacio temporales de la COVID 19 en Aragón (España)
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Con datos de casos confirmados de COVID 19 en Aragón (España), agregados en 123 Zonas Básicas de Salud durante 50 semanas consecutivas, se han identificado, medido y caracterizado los patrones espaciotemporales de la pandemia. Para este fin se han utilizado medidas de autocorrelación espacial y temporal de los datos obtenidas mediante la aplicación de procedimientos de estadística espacial (índices I global e Ii local de Moran). La incidencia espacial y temporal de la COVID 19 en Aragón no ha sido ni homogénea ni aleatoria, pues muestra cierta regularidad global y notable variabilidad local. Este modelo se puede explicar por un proceso de difusión espacial modificado por contagios a larga distancia y restringido por las medidas de control de la pandemia. La información obtenida es muy útil para tomar decisiones en materia de salud pública, relativas a la organización de los recursos sanitarios y a las determinaciones para la prevención y control de la pandemia.
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