Simulación del crecimiento urbano con AMEBA: Modelo Basado en Agentes para la ocupación residencial
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La utilización de Modelos Basados en Agentes (MBA) abre nuevas posibilidades para simular, entender y analizar los resultados del proceso de crecimiento y ocupación urbana teniendo en cuenta diferentes actores implicados en el mismo. El prototipo AMEBA (Agent-based Model for the Evolution of urBan Areas) pretende simular este fenómeno, donde interactúan planificadores, promotores inmobiliarios y la población, a partir del desarrollo de tres submodelos independientes. En el presente trabajo se describe la estructura y funcionamiento del submodelo de ocupación residencial por parte de la población y su integración final con los otros dos submodelos que representan la acción de los demás agentes. Los resultados muestran que es posible desarrollar una arquitectura integrada que permita simular de manera más completa este tipo de sistemas complejos y con la suficiente flexibilidad para ser utilizado en distintas áreas de estudio y simular diferentes escenarios de dinámica urbana a futuro.
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